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Oil Context Weekly (W24)
Israeli strike on Iran upends crude market, shifts focus from gradually and organically improving fundamentals to geopolitical tail risk.
20 hrs ago
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Rory Johnston
12
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Oil Context Weekly (W24)
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Oil Context Weekly (W23)
Crude prices recovered to around their highest level since April as speculators returned to the barrel, while the rise and fall of Western Canadian…
Jun 6
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Rory Johnston
13
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Oil Context Weekly (W23)
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Oil Context Weekly (W22)
Crude flat prices got jerked around by US trade policy developments and increasingly bearish OPEC+ chatter heading into the group’s weekend meeting…
May 30
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Rory Johnston
14
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Oil Context Weekly (W22)
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1
Oil Context Weekly (W21)
Crude prices bounce around but end a headline-crammed week down only modestly
May 23
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Rory Johnston
7
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Oil Context Weekly (W21)
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Oil Context Weekly (W20)
The barrel heads higher on US-China trade optimism, then lower on renewed US-Iran deal concerns, before recovering once again alongside stronger term…
May 16
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Rory Johnston
10
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Oil Context Weekly (W20)
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Oil Context Weekly (W19)
Crude falls back into $50s coming out of OPEC’s weekend production increase before rallying to end week in the green on US trade policy optimism and an…
May 9
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Rory Johnston
11
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Oil Context Weekly (W19)
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Oil Context Weekly (W18)
Crude sank again this week on concerns of another accelerated OPEC+ output hike in June while collapsing term structure and creeping contango removed a…
May 2
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Rory Johnston
13
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Oil Context Weekly (W18)
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Oil Context Weekly (W17)
Crude prices fell after an early-week rally was stamped out by a fresh bout of Kazakh-OPEC brouhaha, stymying an ongoing effort to rebalance…
Apr 25
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Rory Johnston
11
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Oil Context Weekly (W17)
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Oil Context Weekly (W16)
Crude prices rose following new US sanctions on Chinese importers of Iranian crude, supported fundamentally by physical prompt purchases while paper…
Apr 17
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Rory Johnston
11
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Oil Context Weekly (W16)
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Oil Context Weekly (W15)
Crude continued to crater through mid-week before rebounding with other risk assets following Trump’s [partial] “tariff pause”; term structure…
Apr 11
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Rory Johnston
15
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Oil Context Weekly (W15)
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Oil Context Weekly (W14)
Crude prices collapse on double-whammy of steep demand-hampering US tariff rollout and OPEC+ bizarrely leaning into tariff-induced weakness by…
Apr 4
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Rory Johnston
9
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Oil Context Weekly (W14)
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Oil Context Weekly (W13)
Crude prices rise despite broader pullback in risk assets as hot money moves back into oil contracts and Brent term structure points to tighter physical…
Mar 28
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Rory Johnston
16
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Oil Context Weekly (W13)
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