Commodity Context

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Commodity Context
OPEC+ Data Deck (June 2024)
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OPEC+ Data Deck (June 2024)

Participating group-wide crude output fell notably in May as Russia and Kazakhstan made material progress in closing the gap toward their production targets

Rory Johnston's avatar
Rory Johnston
Jun 11, 2024
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Commodity Context
Commodity Context
OPEC+ Data Deck (June 2024)
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Below the paywall you will find the latest monthly edition of the Commodity Context OPEC+ Data Deck (34-page PDF), tracking group-wide and member-level production estimates, quotas, compliance, and exports.

Become a paid subscriber today to view the latest OPEC+ Data Deck report and join me in my hunt for ever-deeper oil & gas market context.

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  • Quota-participating OPEC+ crude production fell 140 kbpd m/m to 34.04 MMbpd in May

  • OPEC+ extended the bulk of its cuts through end-2025 while the final 2.2 MMbpd of cuts by the so-called Group of Eight have been extended through Q3 after which the plan is to begin easing them back slowly over the following year (subject to market conditions, of course)

  • Group-wide production exceeded official quotas—set at 33.92 MMbpd in May—by roughly 130 kbpd

Quota-participating OPEC+ crude production fell 140 kbpd m/m to 34.04 MMbpd in May, with declines driven by Russia (-120 kbpd) and Kazakhstan (-70 kbpd). Russian output reductions continue to be driven by both the ongoing shift in Moscow’s commitments from export-based to output-based cuts while Kazakhstan is closing the gap against its prior overproduction. The next-largest production decline was reported in Saudi Arabia, though at a mere ~30 kbpd it highlights how stable output from quota-bound producers has been over the past month. Overall declines were moderated by a 70 kbpd production increase in Nigeria.

[Further analysis and full OPEC+ Data Deck PDF report below paywall]

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