Commodity Context

Commodity Context

Global Oil Data Deck (April ‘23)

Oil market balances plummeted on strong demand in February to the largest supply deficit since last June; the monthly balance shift was whiplash-inducing coming off January’s substantial oversupply.

Rory Johnston's avatar
Rory Johnston
Apr 19, 2023
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This 59-page April 2023 edition of my monthly data-dense and visualization-heavy Global Oil Data Deck series (attached PDF below) is exclusive to paid Commodity Context subscribers.

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Overview

  • Crude prices bounced back sharply in April with the assistance of the first true surprise OPEC+ cut in ages, with Brent reaching a high of $87/bbl off the mini-banking-crisis lows of ~$70 seen in mid-March.

  • Global oil market balances plummeted in February to a deficit of more than 0.6 MMbpd, the deepest undersupply since June 2022, driven by resurgent demand that rose to a pandemic-era high—this massive ~2.7 MMbpd monthly balance shift was whiplash-inducing coming off January’s stark oversupply.

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